The United States is on track for the largest one-year drop in murders ever recorded, crime data analysts say.
Preliminary data from the Real Time Crime Index, a project run by New Orleans–based consulting firm AH Datalytics that tracks national crime trends, show this week that the murder rate has fallen by nearly 20 percent from 2024 to 2025.
By comparison, the murder rate declined roughly 14 percent from 2023 to 2024.
The index, which compiles monthly data from around 570 law enforcement agencies across the country, shows that between January and October 2025 there were 5,912 murders in the United States, compared with 7,369 recorded during the same period in 2024….