Commentary
For much of the past four years, I believed Ukraine faced a long and increasingly difficult road. The war had become a brutal contest of attrition. Russia possessed greater manpower, a larger industrial base, and an apparent willingness to absorb extraordinary casualties. While I never questioned the justice of Ukraine’s cause, I questioned whether outright victory remained possible. Today, I am more optimistic.
That optimism is not based on hope. It is based on evidence emerging from the battlefield, the Russian economy and the broader geopolitical landscape. Increasingly, this war is being decided not simply by battlefield courage, but by industrial capacity, technological innovation, and national endurance….