The United States is expected to output a record 13.8 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil in 2026, with four new oil production projects expected to come online by year-end.
If the 2026 output projections materialize, it would surpass the U.S. oil output record of 13.7 million b/d set last year, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a Sept. 10 statement.
Oil production in the first half of 2026 has already exceeded output from the same period last year, with most of the growth concentrated in the Federal Gulf of America and the Permian region in Texas and New Mexico.
In the Federal Gulf of America region, crude oil output rose by 10 percent in the first half of 2026 compared to 2025. Oil output is forecast to rise 3 percent in 2026 overall in the Federal Gulf of America….